Saturday, 26 May 2018

[EUR]下降傾向だが修正リスク2018 0526

EUR / USD 4時間チャート、出典:KR先物

cf. [EUR]短期的に見込まれる修正2018 0519

今週は負のろうそくをユーロ通貨で記録し終わった。先物市場の通貨ペア、EUR / USDおよびユーロのすべてのチャートは価格下落を示した。

それはユーロの下降傾向を明白にしているようです。金曜日のドイツの強力なIfo事業環境の直後にユーロの値段が急騰したが、それは戻ってきてその傾向を続けた。

下降傾向は価格のダイビングを指示しません。常に訂正があります。先物やFXマージンなどのデリバティブ市場におけるトレーダーの勘定を傷つける可能性があります。短いポジションが得られていますが、訂正により明白な下降傾向の損失カットが必要な場合があります。

短いポジションは利用可能ですが、訂正によって破損しないよう注意深く位置を取得する必要があります。

お問い合わせの際は、kmuk001@gmail.comまでEメールをお送りください。

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Gjallarhorn、Heimdallr、EUR / USD、ユーロ、ユーロ、ユーロホーン、ヘイムダル、ユーロ/ドル、グルジア

[EUR] Downtrend but Correction Risk 2018 0526

EUR/USD 4-hour chart, source:KR Futures


cf. [EUR] Correction expected in Short term 2018 0519

This week ended recording the negative candle in euro currency. All charts of currency pair, EUR/USD and euro in the futures market showed the price fall.

It seems to be explicit the downward trend of euro. Though the price of euro soared just after German powerful Ifo business climate on Friday, it returned and continued its trend.

The downward trend doesn't tell the diving of price. There is always the correction. The correction may hurt traders' accounts in the derivative market such as futures and FX margin. Though short positions are gotten, the correction may demand you the loss cut in the explicit downward trend.

The short position is available but you need to get the position carefully not to be damaged by the correction.

You can send an e-mail to kmuk001@gmail.com for inquiry.

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, EUR/USD, EUR, Euro, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 유로/달러, 유로화

Tuesday, 22 May 2018

[KOSPI][코스피200] 코스피 힘을 축적하며 방향 탐색중 2018 0523


코스피 200 6월물은 23일 오전 317.35를 가리키고 있는데, 지난 1월 최고치인 341.10을 기록한 뒤로 패턴을 형성하며 등락을 거듭.

지난 1월 정점을 기록한 코스피200은 삼각형 패턴을 만들고 있는데, 어느 한쪽으로 크게 움직일 에너지를 축적하고 있다고 볼 수 있겠음.

그리고 이동평균선들도 한곳으로 수렴하는 모습을 보이고 있고, 볼린저 밴드도 어느 한쪽으로 향하지 않고 평평한 모습을 보이고 있어 당분간 박스권 안에서 움직이며 다음을 준비할 것으로 예상됨.

문의 - kmuk001@gmail.com

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, KOSPI, KOSPI200, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 코스피, 선물지수, 선물, 코스피선물

Saturday, 19 May 2018

[EUR]短期的に見込まれる修正2018 0519

EUR / USD 1時間チャート、出所:KR先物

cf. [EUR]リバウンド価格2018 0509 / [EUR]混合ゾーン2018 0506

経済ニュースは強い米ドルを示唆している。米国財務省の利回りは3%を超え、新興国の通貨が急落した。中東問題は、ブラント油、WTI、ドバイ油などの原油価格を引き上げる。我々はユーロ/ドルの下落トレンドを予測することができ、長期的なチャートはショートポジション、ドル建て買い、ユーロ売りを示す。

しかし、我々は通貨ペアの価格が変動し、上下に現れることを認めなければならない。傾向は明示的に示されているが、価格はしばしば戻ってくる。

市場参加者は、トレンドの後に修正を準備する必要があります。 1時間チャートでは、ダブルボトムパターンを作成し、逆方向に移動平均線を設定すると補正がヒントされます。 1.1830s、120指数移動平均線に戻ることがあります。ボリンジャーバンドの上部バンドに合っています。毎日のチャートと週次チャートではそのサイズは非常に小さいです。

ロングポジションまたはショートポジション?参加者の資本金は、そのポジションを決定するかもしれない。小さな船に乗っている場合は、非常に注意する必要があります。運送業者の場合は、嵐の中を航行することができます。


お問い合わせの際は、kmuk001@gmail.comまでEメールをお送りください。

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Gjallarhorn、Heimdallr、EUR / USD、ユーロ、ユーロ、ユーロホーン、ヘイムダル、ユーロ/ドル、グルジア

[EUR] Correction expected in Short term 2018 0519

EUR/USD one-hour chart, source:KR Futures

cf. [EUR] Rebounding Price 2018 0509 /[EUR] In the Mixed Zone 2018 0506

The economy news hints the strong U.S. dollar. US Treasury yields surpassed 3 percent and it made the plunge of currencies of emerging countries. The Middle East issues raise crude oil prices, such as Brant oil, WTI, and Dubai oil. We can predict the downtrend of EUR/USD and the long-term charts signal Short position, buying greenback and selling euro.

But we need to acknowledge the price of currency pair oscillates and shows up and down. Though the trend is shown explicitly, the price often goes back.

The market participants need to prepare the correction after the trend. The one-hour chart attempts to make double-bottoms pattern and reversely set moving average lines hint the correction. It may go back 1.1830s, 120 exponential moving average line. It matches the upper band of bollinger bands. Its size is very small in daily chart and weekly chart.

Long position or short position? The participants' capital volume may determine the position. If you are in a small boat, you should be very careful. And if in a carrier, you can sail in a storm.


You can send an e-mail to kmuk001@gmail.com for inquiry.

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, EUR/USD, EUR, Euro, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 유로/달러, 유로화

Friday, 18 May 2018

[EUR]貪欲と恐怖2018 0518

EUR / USD 4時間チャート、出所:KR先物


ショートポジションやロングポジションの勧告の前に、私は自分の欲望のために私が迷っていることを認めなければなりません。

私は、主要な通貨ペアの1つであるEUR / USDの価格が下降トレンドで終わり、渋滞ゾーンに入るとあなたに言った。そして私は新しい短期的な傾向が暗示されるまで市場を見ることを勧めました。

しかし、私は分析を無視し、短いポジションを取った。あなたが推測しているように、私の取引は損失としてクリアされました。私は価格の下落を予想していたが、価格は上昇した。そして、私の地位が恐怖によって解消された後、再び通貨ペアが下落した。

市場は人間の貪欲と恐怖で動いている。この取引は私の欲求によって作られ、私の恐怖の記録損失で終了しました。

市場参加者は、市場分析や取引スキルではなく、リスク管理などのマネーマネジメントに焦点を当てるべきです。私はあなたに言いたいことがあります。

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Gjallarhorn、Heimdallr、EUR / USD、ユーロ、ユーロ、ユーロホーン、ヘイムダル、ユーロ/ドル、グルジア

[EUR] Greed and Fear 2018 0518

EUR/USD four-hour chart, source:KR futures



Before the recommendation of Short or Long Position, I should admit that I'm lost because of my greed.

I told you that the price of EUR/USD, one of the major currency pairs would end up in a downtrend and enter the congestion zone. And I recommended just to watch the market till we are hinted the new short-term trend.

But I ignored my analysis and got the short position. As you guess, my trading was cleared up as a loss. While I expected the fall of price, the price rose. And the currency pair plunged again after my position was cleared up by fear.

The market is run with human greed and fear. This trading was made by my greed and finished by my fear recording loss.

The market participants should focus on the money management including the risk management rather than market analysis and trading skill, I'd like to tell you.

You can send an e-mail to kmuk001@gmail.com for inquiry.

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, EUR/USD, EUR, Euro, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 유로/달러, 유로화

Wednesday, 9 May 2018

[EUR] Rebounding Price 2018 0509

EUR/USD four-hour chart, source:KR Futures


EUR/USD, one of the major currency pair  rebounds on Wednesday, now. The oscillating property of the currency pair doesn't admit the plunge without rebound and the price rises after hit 1.1820s lowest level since January.

The pair may try to make the double-bottoms pattern in four-hour chart, and it has the possibility of attaching 120 exponential moving average line in one-hour chart. After its performance, it isn't certain where it goes. But the weekly chart and daily chart hints the downward trend.

After it broke through 1.20, it's natural to think the downward trend, I think. Before the downward trend is shown explicitly, it may go through the mixed term. If you don't have the position, you'd better just watch the market for a while.

You can send an e-mail to kmuk001@gmail.com for inquiry.

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, EUR/USD, EUR, Euro, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 유로/달러, 유로화

Sunday, 6 May 2018

[EUR] In the Mixed Zone 2018 0506

EUR/USD 4-hour chart, source:KR Futures



EUR/USD, one of the major currency pair  broke through 1.20 and the bottom line of triangle pattern in the weekly chart. The price is under the trend line made from late 2016 and it may be the strong sign of downward trend. But the trend is not changed at once. It is tested several times.

The price of the currency pair plunged under the support line and it seems to calm down. It may walk sideways. In four-hour chart, the price may rebound to upper band of bollinger bands at least. It can try to break through its 120 exponential- moving-average line, over 1.2160. And I think it sinks again.

It entered the mixed zone, it would repeat up and down and it will determine the trend. I think the direction go downward.

Before the trend is shown explictly, it is recommended just to watch the market.

You can send an e-mail to kmuk001@gmail.com for inquiry.

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, EUR/USD, EUR, Euro, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 유로/달러, 유로화

Thursday, 3 May 2018

[JPY][엔] 단기적으로 달러 약세, 엔화 강세 전망 2018 0504



지난달 중순 저희는 달러 엔 통화쌍의 강세를 예상하고 달러 매수, 엔화 매도를 권유한 바 있습니다. 지난 3월부터 달러-엔 통화쌍은 상승추세선을 그리며 상승해왔고, 주간 차트에서도 지난 2012년 9월부터 형성된 상승추세선이 여전히 유효하기 때문입니다.

하지만 단기적으로  달러-엔 통화쌍은 하락할 것으로 보여 상승 관점으로 시장을 주시하는 투자자들은 잠시 시장을 주시하는데 중점을 두고, 단타 매매를 주로 하는 투자자는 달러 약세에 관심을 둘 필요가 있겠습니다.

주간차트에서 이 통화쌍은 상승전환 패턴을 만들어갈 기미를 보이고 있어 패턴이 완성되는 지 여부에 유의할 필요가 있습니다. 일간차트에서는 달러/엔 통화쌍이 60일 이동평균선과 90일, 120일 이동평균선을 모두 상향 돌파했습니다. 이른바 골든 크로스가 만들어진 셈인데요, 경험상 외환거래에서는 강한 상승보다는 조정외에 대비할 시기일 때가 많습니다.

주식과는 달리 통화는 기준통화와의 상대적 가치를 지니고 있기 때문에 어느 한쪽 방향으로 일방적으로 움직이지 않습니다. 크게 보면 상승추세라 하더라도 일정한 범위 안에서 상승과 하락을 반복하는 것처럼 보일 때가 많은 게 통화쌍의 특성이기도 합니다.

일간차트에서 볼린저 밴드의 중앙밴드, 즉 20일 이동평균선은 우상향 형태를 하고 있지만 조정에 대비할 필요가 있습니다.

네 시간 차트에서 통화쌍 가격은 이미 하락세를 보이고 있습니다. 정배열된 이동평균선을 차례로 하향돌파할지 지켜볼 필요가 있으며 하향돌파를 성공할 때까지 달러 엔 통화쌍은 하락을 그치지 않을 것으로 보입니다.

또 네 시간 차트에서 통화쌍은 헤드 앤 숄더 패턴을 형성할 가능성이 있으므로 진입시 이에 대비할 필요가 있겠습니다.

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, USD/JPY, JPY, Yen, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 달러/엔, 엔

Tuesday, 1 May 2018

[EUR] Downward Trend 2018 0501

EUR/USD four-hour chart, source:KR futures



EUR/USD, one of the major currency pair makes downward trend breaking trough 1.20. It has moved in the narrow band in the daily chart and four-hour chart since late January and it approached right side of triangle pattern made in the weekly chart. But it broke down the trend line made in the weekly chart and makes the downward trend.

It seems to keep the price down for a while, though it may continue to move up and down, I think. Though the trend line is broken through, it used to rebound to the price before down.

You can send an e-mail to kmuk001@gmail.com for inquiry.

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Gjallarhorn, Heimdallr, EUR/USD, EUR, Euro, 걀라호른, 헤임달, 유로/달러, 유로화