Saturday, 23 December 2017

[EUR] Continue the Upward Trend?

EUR/USD 4-hour chart, source:forexfactory.com

After the chart of EUR/USD formed the double-tops pattern from late November to early December, the price of euro dedlined to 1.1739 in four-hour chart. It repeated the decline and suceeded to bound. Fed decided to raise its fund rate on December 14 on Asia timezone, euro has continued its upward trend.

It seems to continues its trend though there may be an adjustment in January according to the four-hour chart. But the weekly chart of euro shows the other signal. One of the major currency pair EUR/USD has risen since the year. It broke through 1.20 in early September, and approaced near the peak after the adjustment in late November. It's uncertain that the price chart is going to form a peak of double-tops pattern or continue to rise.

We need to watch the chart more carefully whether it continues the trend or turns down making the double-tops pattern. Not only the chart, but also economy news we need to be interested in. President Trump decided the cut of corporate tax to boost the economy and Federal Reserve noticed more rise of benchmark interest rate in next year.

I don't predict the price in next month and next year, of course. The traders don't forecast the market but cope with the market.

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Tuesday, 1 August 2017

[BDI]ボトムアップを調整して

source: bloomberg.com
バルト乾燥指数は、国際海上貿易量を示すBDIは、4月に2015年以来高く、ダブルトップパターンを完成させた。 それはターンダウン傾向の典型的な信号であり、BDIは春以降調整の対象となっています。

今年6月以来、指数は低下していますが、7月31日には946を徐々に下げています。

上昇指数が緑色になり、世界貿易がより活発になるかもしれない。 私はそれが通貨市場で弱いドルと強いユーロを支持していると思う。

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[BDI] Under the adjustment raising its bottoms

BDI yearly chart, source: bloomberg.com


Baltic Dry Index, BDI showing the international maritime trade volume recorded high since 2015 in April and completed the double-tops pattern. It's the typical signal of down-turn trend and BDI has been under the adjustment since spring.

Since this June, the index levels off but it raises its bottoms gradually recording 946 on July 31.

Rising index signals green and world trade may be more active. I think it supports weak US dollar and strong euro in the currency market.

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