Thursday, 30 March 2017

[EUR] Long bias still available

EUR/USD 4-hour chart, source: www.forexfactory.com



Though I wrote new upward trend, the price of currency pair EUR/USD dropped more one big. In short term, my thought is proved incorrect.

But I still keep my opinion of Long bias to EUR/USD. In the weekly chart, the price retreats but the pattern of trend-turning to upward is still available and the price drop may be a chance of buying euro. The price of pair showed some long negative candles in four-hour chart. Unlikely stocks, currencies don’t go just one side in a short term, tend to oscillate like sine curve and cosine curve in mathematics. It means dropped price rebound again.

Most of all, market circumstance supports weak dollar. Hike of benchmark index leads market participants to invest to risk-high asset such as equities, emerging market and so on. Overseas investment makes currency in emerging market strong. U.S. dollar in under the pressure of step-down.

I’m not a prophet but normal market participant. And I emphasize the risk management, not accurate prediction. Though the anticipation is wrong, risk management keep our account from being ruined.

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